Kingdom of Lesotho: 2017 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Kingdom of Lesotho
IMF Staff Country Reports, February 28, 2018
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- Kingdom of Lesotho: 2017 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Kingdom of Lesotho
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Bibliographic details
- Published: February 28, 2018
- Series: IMF Staff Country Reports
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781484343289.002
Summary and key findings
- High levels of unemployment, poverty, and inequality persist in Lesotho despite faster growth compared with regional peers over the last decade.
- GDP growth is expected to be about 3 percent in FY2017/18, below the average of 4.1 percent for the past decade.
- Over the next three years, GDP growth is expected to be led by mining and construction related to the Lesotho Highlands Water Project Phase II.
- A steep decline in Southern African Customs Union transfers, a major source of government revenue, will result in a fiscal deficit that is likely to exceed 6 percent of GDP for the second year.
Growth projections and drivers
- FY2017/18 GDP growth: about 3 percent.
- Past-decade average GDP growth: 4.1 percent.
- Short-term growth drivers: mining and agriculture.
- Medium-term growth drivers (next three years): mining and construction related to Lesotho Highlands Water Project Phase II.
Fiscal outlook and risks
- Major revenue shock: steep decline in Southern African Customs Union (SACU) transfers.
- Fiscal impact: fiscal deficit likely to exceed 6 percent of GDP for the second year.
- Fiscal policy themes identified in subject keywords: Fiscal consolidation, Fiscal policy, Expenditure, Revenue administration, Public financial management (PFM), Wages.
Structural and labor issues
- Persistent structural challenges: unemployment, poverty, inequality.
- Labor-related focus: Labor and Wages listed among subjects and keywords.
Content in this bundle
- Country Report