Determinants of Stock Prices: The Case of Zimbabwe

Author/Editor:

T. Oyama

Publication Date:

September 1, 1997

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary:

This paper examines the general relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic variables in Zimbabwe, using the revised dividend discount model, error-correction model, and multi-factor return-generating model. Despite the large fluctuation in stock prices since 1991, this analysis indicates that the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange has been functioning quite consistently during this period. Whereas sharp increases in stock prices during 1993-94 were mainly due to the shift of risk premium that was caused by the partial capital account liberalization, the recent rapid increase in stock prices can be explained by the movements of monetary aggregates and market interest rates.

Series:

Working Paper No. 1997/117

Subject:

Asset prices Financial institutions Financial markets Financial services Market interest rates National accounts Prices Return on investment Stock markets Stocks

English

Publication Date:

September 1, 1997

ISBN/ISSN:

9781451941616/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA1171997

Pages:

44

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