IMF Working Papers

Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa

ByWilly A Hoffmaister

July 1, 1997

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Format: Chicago

Willy A Hoffmaister. "Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa", IMF Working Papers 1997, 082 (1997), accessed 12/7/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451954746.001

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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

The sources of macroeconomic fluctuations in sub–Saharan African are examined by comparing the CFA franc countries with the non–CFA franc countries. External shocks, especially terms of trade shocks, appear to have a greater influence on fluctuations of output and the real exchange rate in CFA franc countries. This result does not appear to be associated with differences in the economic structure but may reflect the fixed exchange rate regime, which does not (partially) buffer these countries from external shocks. Macroeconomic fluctuations in non–CFA franc countries are similar to those in other developing countries, particularly in Latin America.

Subject: Exchange rate arrangements, Foreign exchange, Inflation, International trade, Prices, Real exchange rates, Terms of trade, Trade balance

Keywords: CFA franc, CFA franc country, exchange arrangements, Exchange rate arrangements, Inflation, Macroeconomic fluctuations, Non-CFA Franc country, open economy, Real exchange rates, Sub-Saharan Africa, sub-Saharan Africa country, Terms of trade, terms of trade shock, Trade balance, WP

Notes

Also published in Staff Papers, Vol. 45, No. 1, March 1998.