Inflation Targeting and Fiscal Rules: Do Interactions and Sequencing Matter?

ByJean-Louis Combes, Xavier Debrun, Alexandru Minea, Rene Tapsoba

May 28, 2014

Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

The paper examines the joint impact of inflation targeting (IT) and fiscal rules (FR) on fiscal behavior and inflation in a broad panel of advanced and developing economies over the period 1990-2009. The main contribution of the paper is to show that, as suggested by the theoretical literature, interactions between FR and IT matter a great deal for policy outcomes. Specifically, the combination of FR and IT appears to deliver more disciplined macroeconomic policies than each of these institutions in isolation. In addition, the sequencing of the monetary and fiscal reforms plays a role: adopting FR before IT delivers stronger results than the reverse sequence.

Subject: Fiscal policy, Fiscal rules, Fiscal stance, Inflation, Inflation targeting, Monetary policy, Prices

Keywords: Africa, budget constraint, dummy variable, fiscal rules, Fiscal stance, FR adoption, government stability, Inflation, inflation rate, Inflation targeting, institutional reform sequencing, IT adoption, IT framework, monetary policy, sequence IT-first-then-FR, WP

Pages:
36
Volume:
2014
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5089/9781498322379.001
Issue:
089
Series:
Working Paper No. 2014/089
Stock No:
WPIEA2014089
ISBN:
9781498322379
ISSN:
1018-5941

IMF’s Work

RESOURCES

TOPICS

Flagship Publications

Other Publications

IMF reports and publications by country

Regional Offices

All News

See Also

For Journalists

Press Center

RESOURCES

FLAGSHIPS

KEY SERIES

IMF NOTES

Loading component...

IMF Working Papers