Why Do Countries Peg the Way They Peg? The Determinants of Anchor Currency Choice
May 1, 2008
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
Summary
What determines the currency to which countries peg or "anchor" their exchange rate? Data for over 100 countries between 1980 and 1998 reveal that trade network externalities are a key determinant. This implies that anchor currency choice may well be suboptimal in that certain currencies, e.g., the U.S. dollar, could be oversubscribed. It also implies that changes in anchor choices by a small number of countries can have large and rapid effects on the international monetary system. Other factors found to be related to anchor choice include the symmetry of output shocks and the currency denomination of liabilities.
Subject: Currencies, Exchange rate arrangements, Exchange rates, Monetary unions, Reserve currencies
Keywords: anchor currency choice, currency denomination, dollar anchor, network externality, U.S. dollar, WP
Pages:
45
Volume:
2008
DOI:
Issue:
132
Series:
Working Paper No. 2008/132
Stock No:
WPIEA2008132
ISBN:
9781451869910
ISSN:
1018-5941




