Public Sector Balance Sheet Strength and the Macro Economy

Author/Editor:

Seyed Reza Yousefi

Publication Date:

August 6, 2019

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary:

This paper introduces concepts of public sector balance sheet (PSBS) strength, taking into account different aspects of what governments own in addition to what they owe. It develops measures of PSBS strength and investigates their macroeconomic implications. Empirical estimations show that in their pricing of sovereign bonds, financial markets account for government assets and net worth in addition to their liabilities. Furthermore, economies with stronger public sector balance sheets experience shallower recessions and recover faster in the aftermath of economic downturns. This faster return to growth can be explained by the greater space for countercyclical fiscal policy in countries with stronger balance sheets.

Series:

Working Paper No. 19/170

Subject:

English

Publication Date:

August 6, 2019

ISBN/ISSN:

9781513508955/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2019170

Price:

$18.00 (Academic Rate:$18.00)

Format:

Paper

Pages:

27

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