Integrating Solvency and Liquidity Stress Tests: The Use of Markov Regime-Switching Models

Author/Editor:

Fei Han ; Mindaugas Leika

Publication Date:

November 15, 2019

Electronic Access:

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Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary:

The paper presents a framework to integrate liquidity and solvency stress tests. An empirical study based on European bond trading data finds that asset sales haircuts depend on the total amount of assets sold and general liquidity conditions in the market. To account for variations in market liquidity, the study uses Markov regime-switching models and links haircuts with market volatility and the amount of securities sold by banks. The framework is accompanied by a Matlab program and an Excel-based tool, which allow the calculations to be replicated for any type of traded security and to be used for liquidity and solvency stress testing.

Series:

Working Paper No. 2019/250

Subject:

English

Publication Date:

November 15, 2019

ISBN/ISSN:

9781513519791/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2019250

Pages:

41

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