Tracing Productivity Growth Channels in the UK

Author/Editor:

Daniel Garcia-Macia ; Julia Korosteleva

Publication Date:

November 12, 2021

Electronic Access:

Free Download. Use the free Adobe Acrobat Reader to view this PDF file

Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary:

What drove the UK productivity slowdown post-GFC, and how is the post-Covid recovery expected to differ? This paper traces the sources of TFP growth in the UK over the last two decades through the lens of a structural model of innovation, using registry data on the universe of firms. The dominant innovation source in the pre-GFC decade were improvements by incumbent firms on their own products, whereas creation of new varieties by entrants took a leading role post-GFC. In the Covid recovery, survey data suggests that creative destruction (i.e., innovation replacing other firms’ products) is expected to gain importance. This emphasizes the need for growth policies that facilitate labor and capital reallocation across firms, in addition to R&D support.

Series:

Working Paper No. 2021/273

Subject:

Frequency:

regular

English

Publication Date:

November 12, 2021

ISBN/ISSN:

9781616356248/1018-5941

Stock No:

WPIEA2021273

Pages:

32

Please address any questions about this title to publications@imf.org