State-Level Health and Economic Impact of COVID-19 in India
IMF Working Papers, November 19, 2021
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- State-Level Health and Economic Impact of COVID-19 in India
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Bibliographic details
- Authors: Pragyan Deb, TengTeng Xu
- Published: November 19, 2021
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781616354695.001
Overview
- Study quantifies the impact of containment measures and voluntary social distancing on both the spread of the virus and the economy at the state level during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic.
- Constructs a de-facto measure of state-level social distancing by combining containment strigency and observed mobility trends.
- Authors: Pragyan Deb, TengTeng Xu.
- Publication date: November 19, 2021.
- Publication series: IMF Working Paper No. 2021/279, Issue: 279, Volume: 2021, Pages: 40.
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781616354695.001.
- ISBN: 9781616354695.
- ISSN: 1018-5941.
Key empirical findings
- Social distancing and containment measures effectively reduced COVID-19 case numbers across Indian states and union territories.
- These health benefits came with high economic costs at the state level.
- State characteristics materially influenced both health and economic outcomes; notable examples include:
- Health care infrastructure (state-level variation in capacity and resources).
- The share of services in the economy (states with larger service sectors experienced different economic impacts).
- The paper highlights wide variation in health and economic impacts across states and union territories.
Methods and measures
- De-facto state-level social distancing index:
- Combined containment strigency and observed mobility trends to capture both mandated and voluntary social distancing.
- State-level empirical analysis linking:
- Social distancing and containment measures to case numbers.
- State characteristics to differential health and economic outcomes.
Policy implications and recommendations
- Importance of adequate social spending to mitigate economic costs of containment and social distancing.
- Strengthening health care infrastructure to improve health outcomes during pandemics.
- Reinforcing social safety nets to protect vulnerable populations from the economic consequences of containment measures and voluntary social distancing.
Subjects and keywords
- Subjects: COVID-19, Health, Health care, Infrastructure, National accounts, Population and demographics.
- Keywords: B. aggregate Results, containment measure, containment measures., containment strigency, COVID-19, Health care, health outcome, India, Infrastructure, social distancing, State characteristic.
Source: Pragyan Deb and TengTeng Xu, "State-Level Health and Economic Impact of COVID-19 in India", IMF Working Papers 2021, 279 (2021), November 19, 2021, DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781616354695.001.
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- Working Paper