Key Questions on Egypt
Last Updated: July 15, 2025
What are the main elements of the IMF supported program with Egypt?
The Egyptian economy continues to face significant macroeconomic challenges, compounded by regional instability and external shocks such as the conflict in Gaza and disruptions in Red Sea trade. Egypt has made substantial progress toward macroeconomic stability. Growth is strengthening, inflation is on a downward trend, and fiscal prudence—particularly through better oversight of public investment—is helping contain demand pressures. However, as stabilization takes root, the focus will need to shift toward accelerating and deepening structural reforms, including through reforms to level the playing field and implement the state ownership policy through decisive implementation of the divestment program.
Overall program objectives remain centered on four key goals to ensure macroeconomic stability and secure private-sector-led growth:
- A sustained shift to a flexible exchange rate system that will help Egypt’s domestic economy adjust more smoothly to external shocks, support the ability of Egyptian businesses to sell their goods and services abroad, and encourage greater investment.
- Monetary and fiscal policy tightening, including through containing off-budget capital expenditure, are needed to reduce inflation and maintain debt sustainability. Managing large capital inflows prudently will be important to contain inflationary pressures and limit future external vulnerabilities.
- In recognition of the significant adverse impact high inflation has on purchasing power, targeted budget support to vulnerable households is warranted and budget space for such support needs to be protected.
- Better balancing the roles of the public and private sectors, with a focus on enhancing competition and allowing a greater role for the private sector in driving growth. This can help create more jobs and opportunities for all Egyptians. In this regard, decisive steps to proceed with the implementation of the state ownership policy and divestment efforts to streamline the role of the state in non strategic sectors is particularly important.
Why is exchange rate flexibility important for Egypt?
- In the past, a heavily managed exchange rate has not served the Egyptian people well. It has led to periods of building imbalances, lack of foreign currency, rationing, and sudden drops in the value of the Egyptian pound. These abrupt devaluations have led to spikes in inflation and undermined economic activity, as investor confidence has been dented.
- An objective under the Fund-supported program is, therefore, to achieve a sustained shift to a flexible exchange rate regime whereby the value of the Egyptian pound would be determined freely against other currencies. Under this framework, one would observe two-way movements in the exchange rate, as it appreciates or depreciates smoothly in line with economic conditions. As an important step in this direction, the Egyptian authorities unified the official and parallel market exchange rates and made foreign exchange (Foreign Exchange) available to everybody at the same exchange rate.
- Flexibility in the exchange rate would bring several benefits. It would help Egypt’s domestic economy adjust more smoothly to external shocks, support the ability of Egyptian businesses to sell their goods and services abroad, and encourage greater investment by reducing the likelihood of large abrupt changes in the exchange rate. In addition, it would help preserve the financial buffers of the central bank.
Learn more about what we mean about foreign currency liberalization in this video.
How does the IMF-supported program protect Egypt’s vulnerable households and support middle-class families?
The IMF-supported program considers that macroeconomic stabilization must be accompanied by measures that protect the most vulnerable and support the middle class. In the context of elevated inflation and a recalibrated fiscal consolidation path, the program prioritizes preserving space for critical social spending while advancing reforms that lay the foundation for inclusive, private-sector-led growth. To this end:
- Targeted social protection has been expanded. The authorities have scaled up the Takaful and Karama cash transfer program to cover over 5 million households and introduced multiple social support packages that include increases in the public sector minimum wage and targeted support for teachers and healthcare workers.
- Fiscal policy has been recalibrated to create space for these critical programs while maintaining debt sustainability. This includes efforts to mobilize domestic revenue as well as more efficient public spending—such as reductions in untargeted energy subsidies.
- Monetary policy remains focused on reducing inflation, which disproportionately affects low- and middle-income households. Bringing down inflation will dampen increases in the cost of living and allow households to consume and save more.
- Structural reforms are being advanced to unlock Egypt’s growth potential and create jobs. These include reducing the state’s footprint in the economy, leveling the playing field, and improving the business environment—measures that will benefit entrepreneurs, small businesses, and young people entering the labor market.
What measures in the program support development of the private sector?
The authorities' policies to strengthen the private sector under the program are anchored by the State Ownership Policy (SOP). The SOP is an integrated package of objectives and policies to guide state ownership of assets and strengthen the role of the private sector in the economy. Decisive implementation of the SOP adopted in 2022 would help to establish the legal, regulatory, and competitive conditions that allow the private sector to become the primary driver of economic growth by significantly reducing the state presence, including military entities, in the economy, leveling the economic playing field between private and state economic agents, and creating a business and governance environment supportive of competitive markets.
Some reforms, such as removing special tax exemptions for SOEs have been initiated and need to be fully implemented, but the significant and largely opaque presence of SOEs, including in competitive sectors of the economy, creates uncertainty for potential private investors underlining the need to advance more forcefully with plans to divestment of SOEs from these sectors and further improve overall transparency of SOE operations. Complementing this, efforts to strengthen the independence of the Egyptian Competition Authority, streamline procedures companies face when investing in Egypt including those related to land acquisition, facilitate trade, and to further improve governance and anticorruption measures will be important in creating an attractive business environment that supports growth.
What are the key tax reforms under Egypt’s IMF-supported program to raise more public revenue?
To help Egypt raise more public revenue and ensure adequate funding for priority development and social needs, the authorities are introducing a set of tax policy and administration reforms aimed at improving efficiency, fairness, and transparency:
- Broadening the VAT base: Parliament has approved measures to expand the value-added tax (VAT) to cover additional sectors, including construction, contracting services, crude oil, cigarettes, and alcohol. These changes are expected to yield meaningful revenue gains.
- Streamlining tax exemptions: The authorities are working to reduce inefficient and distortionary tax exemptions, which will help improve equity and increase the tax base.
- Modernizing tax and customs administration: Reforms are underway to digitize and streamline procedures, reduce compliance costs, and improve enforcement. These efforts are already beginning to show results in terms of improved efficiency and confidence in the system.
- Enhancing domestic revenue mobilization: These reforms are part of a broader strategy to strengthen Egypt’s capacity to fund essential services and development priorities while maintaining fiscal sustainability.
How is the conflict in Gaza and Israel and disruptions in the Red Sea affecting Egypt?
Both tourism and Suez Canal receipts are important sources of foreign exchange for Egypt. Tourism receipts reached US$13.6bn during FY 2022/23 and Suez Canal current account receipts averaged over US$700 million per month prior to the disruptions in the Red Sea.
Despite some moderation, tourism is holding up reasonably well in challenging circumstances.
However, Red Sea disruptions are impacting foreign exchange flows, could deter tourism, and through their impact on trade could result in shortages and add to inflationary pressures. Suez Canal receipts declined by US$6 billion in 2024 relative to 2023 and remained depressed in the first five months of 2025.
What is the potential impact of the debt on the state budget?
The economic strategy under the program is focused on reducing Egypt's debt by putting the general government debt-to-GDP ratio on a downward path. This is expected to be achieved through continued fiscal discipline, while ensuring adequate social protection spending, and use of divestment proceeds.
More revenue mobilization will be key to help support this effort as it will help creating space for priority spending and for targeted support for the vulnerable. Proceeds from the ongoing state asset divestment program will help reduce public debt further.
What is the IMF doing to promote greater transparency over policies in Egypt?
The IMF-supported program has a number of measures to promote greater fiscal transparency. Transparency helps governments obtain an accurate picture of their finances when making economic decisions, including of the costs and benefits of policy changes and potential risks to public finances. It also provides legislatures, markets, and the public with the information they need to hold governments accountable. Greater fiscal transparency can also help strengthen the credibility of a country’s fiscal plans and can help underpin market confidence and market perceptions of fiscal solvency. The authorities have committed to a significant number of concrete measures in this area, including:
- Significant steps to better monitor and control on-and off-budget public sector investment. The Prime Minister has issued a decree that requires all public entities to report annual projected and executed investment spending and specifies target ceilings on the value of total public investment that will be monitored under the program through an indicative target.
- Introducing a binding requirement to ensure the timely publication of audit reports on fiscal accounts by the Central Auditing Organization (CAO).
- Publication of all public procurement contracts that exceed EGP 20 million on the procurement portal website, also available here.
- Publication of all procurement contracts and awards made by the largest 50 state-owned enterprises on the procurement portal website.
- Publication of a comprehensive tax expenditure report including details and estimates of tax exemptions and tax breaks.
- Publication of reports on payment arrears by the Ministry of Finance.
What is the IMF advice on fuel and electricity subsidy reforms?
Subsidies are intended to keep prices low for all consumers, but they come at a substantial cost and are not a good use of scarce public resources. General subsidies are not well targeted at the poor (often benefiting higher income households more), have sizable fiscal consequences (leading to higher taxes/borrowing or lower non-subsidy spending to finance subsidies), promote inefficient allocation of an economy’s resources (hindering growth), and encourage pollution (contributing to climate change and premature deaths from local air pollution). Fossil fuel subsidy removal would also reduce energy security concerns related to volatile fossil fuel supplies.
Energy subsidies have increased in recent years as retail energy prices have not kept up with the increase in the cost of energy production. Ensuring the gradual, transparent, and full increase in retail fuel and electricity prices is important to prevent the reemergence of large untargeted subsidies and create much-needed fiscal space for enhancing social transfers targeted to the vulnerable groups. In addition, energy prices that reflect the cost of production can be supportive of investment in Egypt’s energy sector to meet increasing energy demand and thereby avoid electricity shortages.
What is the status of the Fifth Review of the EFF and its associated policies?
The IMF staff conducted a mission to Cairo in May 2025 and noted continued progress under Egypt’s macroeconomic reform program, including improvements in inflation and foreign exchange reserves. However, additional time is needed to finalize key policy measures—particularly those related to reducing the state’s role in the economy, by advancing the implementation of the State Ownership Policy, and leveling the playing field.
To allow for this continued work and ensure alignment with the program’s core objectives, the Fifth and Sixth Reviews under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) will be combined and are expected to be completed in the fall. The IMF remains committed to supporting Egypt in advancing reforms that strengthen resilience and foster inclusive, private-sector-led growth.
Why does Egypt need an RSF, and what are its main components?
Egypt faces growing climate-related risks—rising temperatures, water scarcity, and more frequent extreme weather—that threaten long-term economic and financial stability. These structural vulnerabilities require sustained investment and policy reform.
The Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) provides Egypt with affordable, long-term financing to support its climate transition. The RSF arrangement backs the country’s National Climate Change Strategy 2050 and updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), and is designed to:
- Accelerate decarbonization through reforms that promote renewable energy, energy efficiency, and sustainable transport.
- Strengthen environmental risk management, including better integration of climate risks into public investment planning and financial sector oversight.
- Enhance climate-informed policymaking by improving data, transparency, and institutional coordination.



