IMF Conference

IMF 7th Statistical Forum

7th IMF Statistical Forum: Measuring the Informal Economy

November 14-15, 2019

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Agenda

Location: IMF Headquarters 2, Conference Halls 1 & 2

 Thursday, November 14, 2019
 8:00 am Registration and Continental Breakfast 
 9:15 a.m

Introduction to the Forum

Mr. David Lipton, First Deputy Managing Director, IMF

 9:30 a.m.

Keynote Address (via video)

Ms. Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director, IMF

 9:45 a.m.

Session I: Definition and Scope of the Informal Economy

Key Messages

Chair: Mr. Louis Marc Ducharme, Chief Statistician and Data Officer, and Director, Statistics Department, IMF

Mr. Friedrich Schneider (Austria, Johannes Kepler University) with Mr. Leandro Medina, Shedding Light on the Shadow Economy: A Global Database

Paper | Presentation

Mr. Ibrahima Tall (National Agency for Statistics and Demography of Senegal) with Mr. Ahmadou Aly Mbaye, Conceptualizing the Informal Sector: Analysis and Application to Francophone Africa

Presentation

 10:40 a.m. Coffee Break
 11:10 a.m. Mr. Michael Frosch (International Labour Organization), Revision of the Standards for Statistics on Informality

Presentation

Ms. Jennifer Ribarsky, Mr. Thomas Alexander, and Mr. Gabriel Quirós-Romero (IMF), State of Play: Importance, Conceptual Fragmentation, and Weak Data Sources

Presentation

Audience Questions

 12:30 p.m. Lunch
 1:45 p.m.

Session II: Standard Estimation Practices—Determining the Level and Growth of the Informal Economy

Key Messages (Part 1)

Chair: Ms. Sharmini Coorey, Director, Institute for Capacity Development, IMF

Mr. François Roubaud (French Research Institute for Sustainable Development, France), with Ms. Nghiêm Thị Vân, Measuring the Non-Observed Economy in Vietnam: A Focus on Informal Economy

PaperPresentation

Mr. Federico Sallusti (Italian National Institute of Statistics), Detecting Under-Reporting of Value Added and VAT Fraud in National Accounts

PaperPresentation

Mr. Venkata Ramana Murthy Salapaka (India, National Statistical Office), Measuring Informal Economy in India

PaperPresentation

Audience Questions

 3:30 p.m. Coffee Break
 4:00 p.m.

Session II (continued): Standard Estimation Practices—Determining the Level and Growth of the Informal Economy

Key Messages (Part 2)

Chair: Mr. Abebe Selassie, Director, African Department, IMF

Ms. Shu Yu (World Bank), with Mr. Ceyhun Elgin, Mr. Ayhan Kose, Ms. Franziska Ohnsorge, Shades of Grey: Measuring the Informal Economy Business Cycles

Paper | Presentation

Ms. Lisa Grace S. Bersales (University of the Philippines School of Statistics), with Ms. Vivian R. Ilarina, Measuring the Contribution of the Informal Sector to the Philippine Economy: Current Practices and Challenges

Paper | Presentation

Mr. Francisco Guillen (Mexico, INEGI), Measurement of the Informal Economy. From Basic to Derived Statistics

Paper | Presentation

Discussant: Mr. Sanjiv Mahajan, Head of International Strategy and Coordination, Office for National Statistics, UK

Presentation

Audience Questions

 6:15 p.m. Cocktail Reception
 Friday, November 15, 2019
 8:45 a.m.

Session III: New Techniques, New Technologies, and New Potential Data Sources

Key Messages

Chair: Mr. Jihad Azour, Director, Middle East and Central Asia Department, IMF

Mr. Frederico Lima and Mr. Gene Leon (IMF), Estimating Economic Activity in Zimbabwe Using Big Data

Presentation

Mr. Erick Rangel-Gonzalez (Mexico, Central Bank of Mexico), with Mr. Irving Llamosas-Rosas, An Alternative Method to Measure Non-Registered Economic Activity in Mexico Using Satellite Nightlights

PaperPresentation

Mr. Ricardo Valencia Ramírez (Colombia, National Administrative Department of Statistics), with Mr. Juan Oviedo Arango, Informality in Data: A Case Study in the Use of Multidimensional Measure to Capture the Formalization Process

Presentation

Ms. Nan Liu (China, National Bureau of Statistics), China’s Experiences in Estimating the Informal Economy

PaperPresentation

Audience Questions

 11:00 a.m. Coffee Break
 11:30 a.m.

Session IV: Measuring Illicit Flows

Key Messages

Chair: Mr. Ceda Ogada, Deputy General Counsel, Legal Department, IMF

Ms. Irmgard Zeiler (UN Office on Drugs and Crime) with Mr. Federico Sallusti, Mr. Alexander Kamprad, and Mr. Enrico Bisogno, Measuring Illegal Economic Activities and Illicit Financial Flows: Challenges and Possible Solutions

PaperPresentation

Mr. Sugata Marjit (Indian Institute of Foreign Trade, Kolkata, India) with Mr. Amit Biswas, Mr. Sandip Sarkar, Misinvoicing Trade & Informal Capital Movements: The USA - India Case

PaperPresentation

Ms. Rachel Soloveichik (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis), Including Illegal Activity in the U.S. National Accounts

PaperPresentation

Ms. Sarah Atkinson (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis), Toward Developing Estimates of U.S. Imports of Illegal Drugs

PaperPresentation

Audience Questions

 1:30 p.m. Lunch
 2:45 p.m.

Session V: Forum Takeaways and Discussion Panel

Key Messages

Chair: Mr. Gerry Rice, Director, Communications Department, IMF

Panelists: Ms. Lisa Grace S. Bersales (University of the Philippines), Mr. Gabriel Quirós-Romero (IMF), and Ms. Irmgard Zeiler (UN Office on Drugs
and Crime)

Audience Questions

 4:00 p.m.

Closure of Forum—Mr. Louis Marc Ducharme

 

ORGANIZERS: Gabriel Quirós Romero, Thomas F. Alexander

E-MAIL: STAForum@imf.org