IMF Staff Country Reports

Colombia: 2021 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Colombia

March 23, 2021

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International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. "Colombia: 2021 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Colombia", IMF Staff Country Reports 2021, 059 (2021), accessed 12/5/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513574608.002

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Summary

COVID-19 has taken a severe social and economic toll, including almost 60,000 deaths. With over 5 million jobs temporarily affected, Colombia recorded its largest recession on record. Since 2020H2, an uneven recovery with intermittent growth has been underway, led by private domestic demand. Staff expects only a gradual recovery in 2021 with economic activity not expected to return to pre-pandemic levels until the second half of 2022. Vaccinations began in February with plans to effectively cover the adult population. However, both external and domestic risks remain skewed to the downside.

Subject: COVID-19, Credit, External debt, Public debt, Public sector

Keywords: Banco de la República, CR, fully-fledged inflation-targeting regime, headline deficit, IMF staff estimate, ISCR, liability positions vis-à-vis nonresident, one-off recognition