Satellite Data for Nowcasting: Estimating Cambodia’s GDP in Real Time Using Satellite Data in a Machine Learning Framework
January 8, 2026
Summary
Cambodia is not alone in facing capacity limitations in the production and timely release of key official statistics needed for data-driven policy decisions. This paper demonstrates that combining satellite-derived indicators (e.g., nighttime lights, NO₂ emissions, vegetation indices) with traditional high-frequency indicators in a machine learning framework significantly improves the accuracy of GDP nowcasts. Moreover, satellite data enables closer examination of subnational patterns, providing granular, near-real-time insights into economic activity. These findings highlight the potential of non-traditional approaches to complement conventional methods and strengthen macroeconomic surveillance in data-scarce environments.
Subject: Agricultural sector, Economic forecasting, Economic sectors, Health
Keywords: Agricultural sector, big data, Global, IMF country, IMF staff, issues paper, machine learning, non-traditional data, nowcast, nowcasting, policy decision, random forest, satellite, satellite data
Pages:
12
Volume:
2026
DOI:
Issue:
001
Series:
Selected Issues Paper No. 2026/001
Stock No:
SIPEA2026001
ISBN:
9798229035323
ISSN:
2958-7875





