Measuring the Trade Effects of EMU
IMF Working Papers, August 1, 2004
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Bibliographic details
- Authors: Hamid Faruqee
- Published: August 1, 2004
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451857269.001
Overview
- Title: Measuring the Trade Effects of EMU
- Author: Hamid Faruqee
- Date: August 1, 2004
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- Core aim: Examine the impact of European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) on trade within the euro area by estimating the effect of the euro's arrival on area-wide trade compared to bilateral trade flows between other industrial countries.
Methodology
- Data scope: Panel data for 22 industrial countries.
- Empirical framework: Controls for other influences according to the "gravity" model of trade.
- Estimation techniques: Panel analysis employing cointegration techniques to obtain reliable point estimates of EMU trade effects.
- Comparative approach: Area-wide trade effects of the euro versus bilateral trade flows among other industrial countries.
- Additional analysis: Exploration of cross-country differences in EMU trade gains and factors accounting for these differences.
Key findings and analytical focus
- Primary finding focus: Quantifies the effect of the euro's arrival on trade within the euro area relative to other industrial country pairs.
- Cross-country heterogeneity: Identifies and further explores cross-country differences with respect to EMU trade gains and underlying explanatory factors.
- Emphasis on reliability: Use of cointegration techniques to improve the reliability of point estimates derived from panel analysis under the gravity model.
Subjects and keywords
- Subject: Currencies, Economic integration, Exchange rates, Foreign exchange, International trade, Labor, Labor unions, Monetary unions, Money, Trade balance
- Keywords: -area trade, aggregate EMU variable, bilateral trade, Currencies, Currency unions, EMU membership, EMU trade effect, EMU trade impact, Europe, Exchange rates, gravity model, industry trade share, Labor unions, monetary union, Monetary unions, trade, Trade balance, trade gain, WP
Working Paper: Measuring the Trade Effects of EMU — Hamid Faruqee, IMF Working Papers, August 1, 2004.
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