Service Offshoring, Productivity, and Employment: Evidence from the United States
December 1, 2005
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
Summary
This paper estimates the effects of offshoring on productivity in U.S. manufacturing industries between 1992 and 2000, using instrumental variables estimation to address the potential endogeneity of offshoring. It finds that service offshoring has a significant positive effect on productivity in the US, accounting for around 11 percent of productivity growth during this period. Offshoring material inputs also has a positive effect on productivity, but the magnitude is smaller accounting for approximately 5 percent of productivity growth. There is a small negative effect of less than half a percent on employment when industries are finely disaggregated (450 manufacturing industries). However, this affect disappears at more aggregate industry level of 96 industries indicating that there is sufficient growth in demand in other industries within these broadly defined classifications to offset any negative effects.
Subject: Employment, Imports, Labor productivity, Productivity, Total factor productivity
Keywords: dependent variable, least squares, service offshoring, WP
Pages:
39
Volume:
2005
DOI:
Issue:
238
Series:
Working Paper No. 2005/238
Stock No:
WPIEA2005238
ISBN:
9781451862577
ISSN:
1018-5941



