IMF Working Papers

Tread with Care: Benefits and Costs of Domestic Debt Restructurings

ByJean-Marc B. Atsebi, Jeta Menkulasi

September 12, 2025

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Format: Chicago

Jean-Marc B. Atsebi, and Jeta Menkulasi. "Tread with Care: Benefits and Costs of Domestic Debt Restructurings", IMF Working Papers 2025, 179 (2025), accessed 12/5/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229024716.001

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Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary

With increasing debt vulnerabilities, domestic debt may become an important—though still distinct––part of debt restructurings. This paper aims to contribute to the discourse by examining the factors that precipitate domestic debt restructurings (DDRs) and their implications for macro-fiscal outcomes. We find that: (i) DDRs are less effective than external debt restructurings (EDRs) in reducing public debt and interest payments; and (ii) they entail deeper, more persistent costs to output and domestic credit. Still, well-designed DDRs can be critical for restoring macroeconomic stability and sustainability, regardless of costs. Their impacts depend on design, instruments, sovereign-bank nexus, concurrent fiscal consolidation, and financial development. Finally, the paper shows that gross international reserves and the presence of an IMF-supported program can mitigate the costs associated with DDRs while preserving their debt relief benefits.

Subject: Asset and liability management, Debt restructuring, Domestic credit, Domestic debt, External debt, Interest payments, Money, Public debt

Keywords: DDR effect, Debt restructuring, debt vulnerability, Domestic credit, Domestic debt, Domestic Debt Restructuring (DDR), domestic debt restructurings, Finanial Stability, Global, Interest Payment, Interest payments, Logit estimate, Macroeconomic Impact, Output Loss, persistent cost, Public Debt, Sovereign-Bank Nexus