Does Monetary Policy Stabilize the Exchange Rate Following a Currency Crisis?
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Summary:
This paper provides evidence on the relationship between monetary policy and the exchange rate in the aftermath of currency crises. It analyzes a large data set of currency crises in 80 countries for the period 1980-98. The main question addressed is: Can monetary policy increase the probability of reversing a postcrisis undervaluation through nominal appreciation rather than higher inflation? We find that tight monetary policy facilitates the reversal of currency undervaluation through nominal appreciation. When the economy also faces a banking crisis, the results are not robust: depending on the specification, tight monetary policies may not have the same effect.
Series:
Working Paper No. 1999/042
Subject:
Currency crises Exchange rates Financial crises Financial services Foreign exchange Monetary policy Monetary tightening Real exchange rates Real interest rates
English
Publication Date:
March 1, 1999
ISBN/ISSN:
9781451846195/1018-5941
Stock No:
WPIEA0421999
Pages:
32
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