Angola: 2024 First Post-Financing Assessment-Press Release; and Staff Report
July 15, 2024
Also available inportuguês
Summary
This paper presents Post Financing Assessment (PFA) Consultation with Angola. Angola’s capacity to repay the IMF is adequate though subject to risks. Angola remained resilient in the face of significant challenges in 2023, including weaker oil production and prices. Spending adjustments helped contain the impact of weaker oil prices and lower production in 2023, though the gains from fiscal consolidation were lower-than-anticipated. The nonoil primary fiscal deficit (NOPFD), estimated at 4.4 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2024, is expected to steadily decline in the medium term on modestly improving non-oil revenues, moderately lower current and capital expenditures, and savings from fuel subsidy reform. Continued efforts on enhancing the monetary policy framework are needed to reduce inflation and support non-oil medium-term growth. Implementing broad ranging structural reforms is vital to improve business environment and maintain growth in the context of a long-term decline of the oil sector. Addressing issues related to governance, gender, and climate change remains critical to achieving economic diversification and sustainable growth.
Subject: Energy subsidies, Expenditure, External debt, Oil prices, Oil production, Prices, Production, Public debt
Keywords: anchor inflation expectation, Angola economy, Energy subsidies, Global, inflation reduction, oil dependence, oil price shock, Oil prices, Oil production, private sector borrowing costs
Pages:
44
Volume:
2024
DOI:
Issue:
224
Series:
Country Report No. 2024/224
Stock No:
1AGOEA2024003
ISBN:
9798400282027
ISSN:
1934-7685





