IMF Publications by Subject
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Economic forecasting:
2021
Title: Taking Stock of IMF Capacity Development on Monetary Policy Forecasting and Policy Analysis Systems
Series: Departmental Paper No 2021/026
Date: December 10, 2021
Subject: Central bank policy rate Central banks Economic forecasting Exchange rates Financial services Foreign exchange Inflation Market interest rates Output gap Prices Production
Title: Patterns in IMF Growth Forecast Revisions: A Panel Study at Multiple Horizons
Series: Working Paper No. 2021/136
Date: May 7, 2021
Subject: Econometric analysis Economic forecasting Economic sectors Financial crises International trade Technology Technology transfer Terms of trade Time series analysis Vector autoregression
2020
Title: Monetary Policy Surprises and Inflation Expectation Dispersion
Series: Working Paper No. 2020/252
Date: November 13, 2020
Subject: Central bank policy rate Economic forecasting Financial institutions Financial services Futures Inflation Inflation targeting Monetary policy Prices
Title: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Asia and Pacific: Navigating the Pandemic: A Multispeed Recovery in Asia
Series: REO
Date: October 22, 2020
Subject: COVID-19 Crisis management Crisis recovery and resolution planning Economic forecasting Emerging and frontier financial markets Gender inequality Health Income distribution Income inequality Loss of jobs Monetary policy Poverty and inequality Regional Economic Outlook
Title: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2020, Middle East and Central Asia
Series: REO
Date: October 19, 2020
Subject: COVID-19 Credit Crisis management Crisis recovery and resolution planning Economic forecasting Education Fiscal space Fluctuating oil revenues Health Monetary policy Oil Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Regional Economic Outlook Remittances Stress testing Tourism
Title: Investor Sentiment, Sovereign Debt Mispricing, and Economic Outcomes
Series: Working Paper No. 2020/166
Date: August 14, 2020
Subject: Balance of payments Current account deficits Economic forecasting External debt Government consumption National accounts Public debt
Title: Deus ex Machina? A Framework for Macro Forecasting with Machine Learning
Series: Working Paper No. 2020/045
Date: February 28, 2020
Subject: Econometric analysis Economic forecasting Factor models Machine learning Technology
Title: Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals
Series: Working Paper No. 2020/022
Date: January 31, 2020
Subject: Economic forecasting Economic sectors Foreign exchange National accounts Personal income Real effective exchange rates Tourism
2019
Title: How to Improve Inflation Forecasting in Canada
Series: Working Paper No. 2019/190
Date: September 13, 2019
Subject: Central bank policy rate Economic forecasting Financial services Inflation Inflation targeting Monetary policy Output gap Prices Production
2018
Title: Overfitting in Judgment-based Economic Forecasts: The Case of IMF Growth Projections
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/260
Date: December 7, 2018
Subject: Economic forecasting Emerging and frontier financial markets Financial markets Foreign exchange Income National accounts Personal income Population and demographics Population growth Real exchange rates