Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Monetary Policy in Croatia
IMF Working Papers, June 1, 2002
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Bibliographic details
- Authors: Leo Bonato, Andreas Billmeier
- Published: June 1, 2002
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451853223.001
Summary and main findings
- Exchange rate targeting is considered the best policy option in dollarized economies when wages and prices are indexed to the exchange rate.
- Croatia is a highly dollarized economy.
- Empirical investigation conducted in this paper shows that exchange rate pass-through has been low after stabilization.
- This finding is robust to different methodologies (VAR, cointegration).
- The low pass-through would suggest that dollarization is mostly limited to financial assets and therefore that strict exchange rate targeting may not necessarily be the best option.
- Policy implications are unclear due to the endogeneity of the pass-through to the policy regime.
Methodology and analytical approach
- Econometric analysis using VAR (Vector autoregression) and cointegration techniques.
- Time series analysis of exchange rate adjustments, exchange rate shocks, exchange rate movements, and pass-through to prices.
- Consideration of price indexes including retail price index and HWWA commodity price index across the distribution chain.
Policy implications and interpretation
- Low post-stabilization exchange rate pass-through suggests limited pass-through from exchange rates to wages and prices in Croatia.
- If dollarization is mostly limited to financial assets, strict exchange rate targeting may not necessarily be the optimal policy choice.
- The paper emphasizes that policy conclusions are constrained by the endogeneity of pass-through to the prevailing policy regime, making definitive policy prescriptions unclear.
Key statistics and publication metadata
- Authors: Leo Bonato, Andreas Billmeier
- Date: June 1, 2002
- Series: Working Paper No. 2002/109
- Issue: 109
- Volume: 2002
- Pages: 34
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451853223.001
- Stock No: WPIEA1092002
- ISBN: 9781451853223
- ISSN: 1018-5941
Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Monetary Policy in Croatia, IMF Working Papers, June 1, 2002.
Content in this bundle
- Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Monetary Policy in Croatia - WP/02/109