Pension Reform, Private Saving, and the Current Account in a Small Open Economy
October 1, 2000
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
Summary
The macroeconomic implications of a pension reform that substitutes a high-return fully-funded system for a low-return pay-as-you-go system are discussed in an overlapping generations, neoclassical growth model. With forward-looking individuals, a debt-financed reform worsens the current account, while a tax-financed reform leaves the current account unchanged. With myopic individuals, a debt-financed reform leaves the current account unchanged, while a tax-financed reform improves the current account. Hence, tax-financing, which is equivalent to pre-funding, should be the preferred reform strategy in a small open economy with a weak current account position.
Subject: Expenditure, Labor, National accounts, Payroll tax, Pension reform, Pension spending, Pensions, Private savings, Taxes
Keywords: budget constraint, current account, FF pillar, open economy, PAYG pillar, PAYG system, Payroll tax, pension reform, Pension spending, Pensions, pillar saving, Private savings, rate of return, saving, WP
Pages:
30
Volume:
2000
DOI:
Issue:
171
Series:
Working Paper No. 2000/171
Stock No:
WPIEA1712000
ISBN:
9781451858495
ISSN:
1018-5941




