IMF Working Papers

Expected Credit Loss Modeling from a Top-Down Stress Testing Perspective

ByMarco Gross, Mindaugas Leika, Pavel Lukyantsau

July 3, 2020

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Marco Gross, Mindaugas Leika, and Pavel Lukyantsau. "Expected Credit Loss Modeling from a Top-Down Stress Testing Perspective", IMF Working Papers 2020, 111 (2020), accessed 12/6/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513549088.001

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Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary

The objective of this paper is to present an integrated tool suite for IFRS 9- and CECL-compatible estimation in top-down solvency stress tests. The tool suite serves as an illustration for institutions wishing to include accounting-based approaches for credit risk modeling in top-down stress tests. The tool suite is made available online along with this paper.

Subject: Distressed assets, Financial institutions, Financial regulation and supervision, Financial sector policy and analysis, International Financial Reporting Standards, Loans, Stocks, Stress testing

Keywords: accounting regime, balance sheet, bank portfolio model, bank-portfolio level, CECL, Credit risk, Distressed assets, financial asset, Global, IFRS 9, interest rate, International Financial Reporting Standards, LGD modeling, lifetime probability of default, Loan loss provisions, Loans, Lt-ECL ratio, modeling choice, provision flow, provision stock, Stocks, Stress testing, transition matrix, WP

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