IMF Working Papers

Young Firms and Monetary Policy Transmission

ByThomas McGregor

March 5, 2021

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Format: Chicago

Thomas McGregor. "Young Firms and Monetary Policy Transmission", IMF Working Papers 2021, 063 (2021), accessed 12/9/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513571584.001

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Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary

We investigate the role of business dynamism in the transmission of monetary policy by exploitingthe variation in firm demographics across U.S. states. Using local projections, we find that a larger fraction of young firms significantly mutes the effects of monetary policy on the labor market and personal income over the medium term. The firm entry rate and the employment share of young firms are key factors underpinning these results, which are robust to a battery of robustness tests. We develop a heterogeneous-firm model with age-dependent financial frictions that rationalizes the empirical evidence.

Subject: Credit ratings, Economic sectors, Employment, Financial crises, Labor, Money, National accounts, Personal income, Population and demographics, Wages

Keywords: business dynamism, Credit ratings, Employment, entry rate, exit rate, firm demographics, firm productivity, Global, growth rate, local projections, monetary policy, monetary policy shock, Personal income, policy function, population demographics, startup firm, U.S. states, U.S. states., Wages