Selected Issues Papers

Estimating Potential Output in Niger: Niger

By Guy Morel Kossivi Amouzou Agbe

April 18, 2025

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Format: Chicago

Guy Morel Kossivi Amouzou Agbe. "Estimating Potential Output in Niger: Niger", Selected Issues Papers 2025, 041 (2025), accessed May 17, 2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229006507.018

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Summary

Potential growth in Niger is estimated at around 6 percent with a structurally significant contribution of labor and peaks of growth associated with higher investment in physical capital. Growth in Niger is, however, constrained by weak productivity, limited structural transformation, and inadequate economic diversification, with downside risks stemming mainly from regional insecurity and adverse climate shocks. Key factors that could boost economic growth in Niger include investment in human capital, the development of the extractive sector and agro-industrial value chains and the diffusion of digital technologies.

Subject: Human capital, Labor, Output gap, Potential output, Production, Total factor productivity

Keywords: B. sectoral growth trend, Economic Growth, Global, Growth decomposition, Growth in Niger, Human capital, I. Cobb-Douglas production function, Output gap, Output gap estimate, Output gap estimation, Potential output, Production function, Statistical filters, Total factor productivity, West Africa

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