IMF Working Papers

A Search-Based Theory of Mergers and Acquisitions

ByFlavien Moreau, Semih Üslü

November 14, 2025

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Format: Chicago

Flavien Moreau, and Semih Üslü. "A Search-Based Theory of Mergers and Acquisitions", IMF Working Papers 2025, 239 (2025), accessed 12/5/2025, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229030601.001

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Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary

We develop a search-based theory of mergers and acquisitions with heterogeneous firms and endogenous search complementarities. We use this model to understand how merger incentives and the firm size distribution interact. In equilibrium, search costs and entry rates determine search intensities and shape the distribution of market power. We derive the law of motion of the firm size distribution, provide closed-form solutions, and solve for endogenous search efforts. Finally, we derive the aggregate welfare function and show how our framework can be used to simulate the impact of various antitrust policies. In particular, antitrust policy can have large effects on welfare due to the existence of multiple equilibria.

Subject: Econometric analysis, International trade, Labor, Plurilateral trade, Search models, Trade balance, Trade surpluses, Wages

Keywords: Bargaining, distribution interact, endogenous search complementarity, IMF working papers, Market power, merger incentive, Mergers & acquisitions, Plurilateral trade, Search, search intensity, Search models, theory of merger, Trade balance, Trade surpluses, Wages