IMF Working Papers

Still Packing a Punch: Monetary Policy Transmission in a New Cross-Country High-Frequency Dataset

ByEce Ozge Emeksiz, Güneş Kamber, Julia Otten, Gurnain Kaur Pasricha

January 30, 2026

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Format: Chicago

Ece Ozge Emeksiz, Güneş Kamber, Julia Otten, and Gurnain Kaur Pasricha. "Still Packing a Punch: Monetary Policy Transmission in a New Cross-Country High-Frequency Dataset", IMF Working Papers 2026, 018 (2026), accessed 2/3/2026, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229038898.001

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Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary

This paper assesses the transmission of monetary policy using a new state-of-the-art intra-day dataset of monetary policy shocks for 16 advanced economies and emerging markets, the most comprehensive cross-country coverage to date. Using 30-minute windows around policy announcements, we construct target and path factor shocks for a broad sample of countries and assess their transmission to government bond yields, stock prices, and exchange rates. High-frequency identification improves the significance of estimated responses relative to lower-frequency intraday or daily data. Both target and path surprises generate large and consistent effects across asset classes. We find limited evidence of central bank information effects, confirming the validity of high-frequency methods. Post-COVID-19, transmission to yields and equity prices remains stable, but exchange rate responses weaken—likely due to synchronized monetary tightening across countries. The findings underscore the value of high-frequency data for robust identification and cross-country analysis of monetary policy transmission.

Subject: Asset prices, Bond yields, Bonds, Exchange rates, Financial institutions, Financial services, Foreign exchange, Prices, Stocks, Yield curve

Keywords: Advanced Economies, Asset prices, Asset Prices, Bond yields, Bonds, Central Bank Communication, Emerging Markets, Exchange rates, Financial Market Response, High-Frequency Identification, Monetary Policy, Post-COVID-19 Inflation, Quantitative Easing, Stocks, Yield curve, Yield Curve

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