Safeguarding Banks and Containing Property Booms: Cross-Country Evidence on Macroprudential Policies and Lessons from Hong Kong SAR

 
Author/Editor: Ahuja, Ashvin ; Nabar, Malhar
 
Publication Date: December 01, 2011
 
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
 
Summary: We assess the effectiveness of macroprudential policies against a number of different indicators of property sector activity and financial stability. At the cross-country level the use of LTV caps decelerates property price growth. Both LTV and DTI caps slow property lending growth. LTV caps also affect a broader range of financial stability indicators in economies with pegged exchange rates and currency boards. For Hong Kong SAR, LTV policy tends to be forward looking, with caps lowered to counter downward movements in mortgage rates, and higher growth in mortgage loan and volumes of transactions. The reduction in caps appears to respond to small and medium size flat price appreciation, and contributes to a decline in high-end volume growth after a year and total transactions volume growth after 1½–2 years. Price growth responds favorably after 2 years. The evidence suggests LTV tightening could affect property activity through the expectations channel rather than through the credit channel.
 
Series: Working Paper No. 11/284
Subject(s): Banking sector | Capital | Cross country analysis | Financial stability | Housing prices | Monetary policy | Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China

Author's Keyword(s): Macroprudential Policy | Banks | Property Sector | Hong Kong SAR
 
English
Publication Date: December 01, 2011
Format: Paper
Stock No: WPIEA2011284 Pages: 26
Price:
US$18.00 (Academic Rate:
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