Quantifying Impact of Aging Population on Fiscal Space

 
Author/Editor: Park, Seok Gil
 
Publication Date: June 01, 2012
 
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Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF. The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
 
Summary: This paper quantitatively investigates how population aging trend affects fiscal space measured as unused revenue generating capacity by utilizing a standard neoclassical growth model. A calibration exercise for G-7 countries shows that France, Germany and Italy suffer greater revenue impact from a given reduction in hours worked due to their larger government expenditure. Corrective measures such as pension reform and flexible expenditure policy would be required in order to mitigate the impact of aging on fiscal space.
 
Series: Working Paper No. 12/164
Subject(s): Aging | Cross country analysis | Economic models | Fiscal policy | France | Germany | Group of seven | Italy | Labor supply | Population | Tax revenues

Author's Keyword(s): Aging | fiscal space | Laffer curve
 
English
Publication Date: June 01, 2012
Format: Paper
Stock No: WPIEA2012164 Pages: 24
Price:
US$18.00 (Academic Rate:
US$18.00 )
 
 
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