IMF Working Papers

Inflation, Uncertainty, and Growth in Colombia

By Henry Ma

November 1, 1998

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Henry Ma. Inflation, Uncertainty, and Growth in Colombia, (USA: International Monetary Fund, 1998) accessed September 19, 2024
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

Summary

It has been argued that higher levels of inflation lead to greater uncertainty about future inflation and to greater dispersion of relative prices. In either case, inflation could reduce the efficiency of market prices in coordinating economic activities. This paper shows that the rise of inflation in Colombia, from low levels in the 1950s to average rates of 18–22 percent since the 1970s, has been accompanied by increased uncertainty and relative price dispersion; and that inflation has had a negative and persistent effect on real GDP growth.

Subject: Inflation, Prices

Keywords: Consumer price inflation, Forecasting inflation, Inflation, Inflation hedge, Inflation increase, Inflation lead, Inflation level, Inflation risk premium, Inflation shock, Inflation uncertainty, Price dispersion, Relative price dispersion, VAR, WP

Publication Details

  • Pages:

    30

  • Volume:

    ---

  • DOI:

    ---

  • Issue:

    ---

  • Series:

    Working Paper No. 1998/161

  • Stock No:

    WPIEA1611998

  • ISBN:

    9781451981582

  • ISSN:

    1018-5941