Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia, May 2007 -- Table of Contents

Middle East and Central Asia

Regional Economic Outlook: Middle East and Central Asia

May 2007

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Strong economic performance across the Middle East and Central Asia is examined against the background of high prices for energy and other commodities. Common economic trends are presented, while prospects and policies are reviewed for the coming year in light of the global economic environment. This latest REO includes boxes treating specific regional topics, such as financial sector reforms and integration in Maghreb countries; economic developments in oil-exporting countries in response to changes in petroleum prices; and the growth boom in the Caucasus and Central Asia.

Recent Macroeconomic Developments and Prospects
	Highlights Background
	Recent Economic Developments
	Economic Outlook
		World economic outlook
		Outlook for the region
	Policy Issues
Boxes
	1.	What is Behind the Growth Boom in the Caucasus and Central Asia?
	2.	Paradox of Depreciating Real Effective Exchange Rates in GCC Countries
	3.	Islamic Bonds
	4.	Lebanon—Recovery from Conflict
	5.	The Fund's Role in Post-Conflict Countries in MCD
	6.	Oil Income in the Middle East and Central Asia—An Update
	7.	Financial Sector Reforms and Financial Integration in Maghreb Countries
Text Figures
	1.	Global Real GDP Growth
	2.	Real GDP Growth in MCD
	3.	External Current Account Balance
	4.	Non-Oil Commodity Prices
	5.	Gross Official Reserves
	6.	Central Government Fiscal Balance
	7.	Total Government Debt
	8.	Counterparts to Money Supply
	9.	Credit to the Private Sector
	10.	Consumer Price Index
	11.	Nominal Effective Exchange Rates
	12.	Real Effective Exchange Rates
	13.	Selected MCD Countries Stock Market Indices
	14.	Global Outlook
	15.	Expected Brent Crude Oil Prices
Statistical Appendix
	Data and Conventions
Tables
	1.	Real GDP Growth
	2.	Nominal Gross Domestic Product
	3.	Hydrocarbon and Non-hydrocarbon Real Growth for Oil Exporters
	4.	Crude Oil Production and Exports
	5.	Consumer Price Index
	6.	Broad Money
	7.	Central Government Fiscal Balance
	8.	Central Government Total Revenue Excluding Grants
	9.	Central Government Non-Oil Fiscal Balance
	10.	Central Government Non-Oil Revenue
	11.	Central Government Total Expenditure and Net Lending
	12.	Total Government Debt
	13.	Export of Goods and Services
	14.	Import of Goods and Services
	15.	Current Account Balance (in billions of U.S. dollars)
	16.	Current Account Balance (in percent of GDP)
	17.	Real Effective Exchange Rates
	18.	Gross Official Reserves
	19.	Total Gross External Debt

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Contents

Recent Macroeconomic Developments and Prospects
	Highlights Background
	Recent Economic Developments
	Economic Outlook
		World economic outlook
		Outlook for the region
	Policy Issues
Boxes
	1.	What is Behind the Growth Boom in the Caucasus and Central Asia?
	2.	Paradox of Depreciating Real Effective Exchange Rates in GCC Countries
	3.	Islamic Bonds
	4.	Lebanon—Recovery from Conflict
	5.	The Fund's Role in Post-Conflict Countries in MCD
	6.	Oil Income in the Middle East and Central Asia—An Update
	7.	Financial Sector Reforms and Financial Integration in Maghreb Countries
Text Figures
	1.	Global Real GDP Growth
	2.	Real GDP Growth in MCD
	3.	External Current Account Balance
	4.	Non-Oil Commodity Prices
	5.	Gross Official Reserves
	6.	Central Government Fiscal Balance
	7.	Total Government Debt
	8.	Counterparts to Money Supply
	9.	Credit to the Private Sector
	10.	Consumer Price Index
	11.	Nominal Effective Exchange Rates
	12.	Real Effective Exchange Rates
	13.	Selected MCD Countries Stock Market Indices
	14.	Global Outlook
	15.	Expected Brent Crude Oil Prices
Statistical Appendix
	Data and Conventions
Tables
	1.	Real GDP Growth
	2.	Nominal Gross Domestic Product
	3.	Hydrocarbon and Non-hydrocarbon Real Growth for Oil Exporters
	4.	Crude Oil Production and Exports
	5.	Consumer Price Index
	6.	Broad Money
	7.	Central Government Fiscal Balance
	8.	Central Government Total Revenue Excluding Grants
	9.	Central Government Non-Oil Fiscal Balance
	10.	Central Government Non-Oil Revenue
	11.	Central Government Total Expenditure and Net Lending
	12.	Total Government Debt
	13.	Export of Goods and Services
	14.	Import of Goods and Services
	15.	Current Account Balance (in billions of U.S. dollars)
	16.	Current Account Balance (in percent of GDP)
	17.	Real Effective Exchange Rates
	18.	Gross Official Reserves
	19.	Total Gross External Debt

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Middle East and Central Asia

Middle East and Central Asia