Connect with IMF Institute
Macroeconometric Forecasting

Macroeconometric Forecasting (MFx)

Deadline passed

Session No.: OL 23.222

Location: Course conducted online

Date: September 1, 2023 - December 31, 2023 (17 weeks)

Delivery Method: Online Training

Primary Language: English

    Target Audience

    All government officials are welcome to register. The course is particularly relevant for officials involved in developing forecasts that are used to design and implement macroeconomic policy. The course is offered in English.

    Back to top

    Qualifications

    Participants are expected to have a background in undergraduate statistics and basic econometrics. Access to a computer with a reliable Internet connection and a Google Chrome web browser is essential. Demonstrations and applications are conducted using EViews – a popular software for estimating and simulating forecasting models in Windows. Temporary licenses for EViews are made available for the duration of the course.

    Back to top

    Course Description

    This course, presented by the Institute for Capacity Development, is designed to reinforce the macroeconomic forecasting and modeling skills of participants and their use of modern econometric techniques. Lectures discuss the underlying theory and demonstrations show how to conduct empirical analyses using EViews. The course focuses on four aspects of empirical model building and forecasting:

    • data and model properties, such as stationarity/non-stationarity and co-integration;
    • dynamic specifications, especially the use of error correction models;
    • model evaluation, design, and simulation; and
    • forecast uncertainty and policy analysis.
    Back to top

    Course Objectives

    Upon completion of this course, participants should be able to:

    • Forecast time series and multiple equation models using EViews.
    • Assess the statistical characteristics of time series and apply appropriate methods for forecasting.
    • Construct a macroeconometric model using ARMA, VAR, and VECM methods.
    • Use a variety of statistical techniques to evaluate the performance of a forecasting model.
    Back to top

    Apply Now - Application deadline approaching:

    IMF offers online training to government officials and the public. Click Learn more to find our current offerings.

    Financial Programming and Policies (FPP)

    English | March 3-14, 2025 | Blended Training | Washington, D.C., United States

    Apply online by October 9, 2024

    Core Elements of Banking Supervision (CBS)

    English (French, Portuguese) | January 20-24, 2025 | Blended Training | Ebene, Mauritius

    Apply online by October 11, 2024

    Selected Issues in the Evolving Financial Regulatory Framework (FRF)

    English | March 10-14, 2025 | In-person Training | Singapore, Singapore

    Apply online by October 11, 2024

    Financial Programming and Policies (FPP)

    English (Russian) | January 27, 2025 - February 7, 2025 | Blended Training | Vienna, Austria

    Apply online by October 13, 2024

    Nowcasting (NWC)

    English | January 13-24, 2025 | In-person Training | Vienna, Austria

    Apply online by October 14, 2024