IMF Working Papers

The Nuanced Role of Government Credit in Monetary Policy Transmission

BySophia Chen, Deniz O Igan, Leila Aghabarari, Bernardus Van Doornik

January 9, 2026

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Format: Chicago

Sophia Chen, Deniz O Igan, Leila Aghabarari, and Bernardus Van Doornik. "The Nuanced Role of Government Credit in Monetary Policy Transmission", IMF Working Papers 2026, 004 (2026), accessed 1/10/2026, https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229035699.001

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Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to encourage debate. The views expressed in IMF Working Papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board, or IMF management.

Summary

We investigate the role of government credit in monetary policy transmission, using detailed credit registry data from Brazil. We find that government direct credit can effectively support small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in a tight monetary policy environment, aligning with developmental objectives. But it comes at the cost of diminishing the overall effectiveness of monetary policy transmission. We also uncover complexities introduced by government-subsidized lending, where the impact of monetary policy transmission is influenced by factors such as credit market segments, lending relationships, and prevailing monetary policy conditions. These insights provide valuable guidance for policymakers on the transmission of monetary policy and the trade-offs involved in government credit programs.

Subject: Bank credit, Central bank policy rate, Collateral, Credit, Financial institutions, Financial services, Loans, Money

Keywords: Bank credit, Brazil, Central bank policy rate, Collateral, Credit, earmarked credit, emerging market, government banks, government direct credit, Loans, Monetary policy, SME