Summary
When estimating DSGE models, the number of observable economic variables is usually kept small, and it is conveniently assumed that DSGE model variables are perfectly measured by a single data series. Building upon Boivin and Giannoni (2006), we relax these two assumptions and estimate a fairly simple monetary DSGE model on a richer data set. Using post-1983 U.S.data on real output, inflation, nominal interest rates, measures of inverse money velocity, and a large panel of informational series, we compare the data-rich DSGE model with the regular - few observables, perfect measurement - DSGE model in terms of deep parameter estimates, propagation of monetary policy and technology shocks and sources of business cycle fluctuations. We document that the data-rich DSGE model generates a higher implied duration of Calvo price contracts and a lower slope of the New Keynesian Phillips curve. To reduce the computational costs of the likelihood-based estimation, we employed a novel speedup as in Jungbacker and Koopman (2008) and achieved the time savings of 60 percent.
Subject: Deflation, Demand for money, Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, Econometric analysis, Industrial production, Inflation, Monetary base, Money, Prices
Keywords: Bayesian estimation, contractionary monetary policy, Deflation, Demand for money, DSGE estimation, DSGE m, DSGE model, DSGE parameter, DSGE state, DSGE states-factor, dynamic factor models, Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, fed funds rate, Inflation, model concept, model state, Monetary base, Regular and data-rich DSGE models, rich DSGE, structural parameter, WP