Systemwide Liquidity Stress Testing Tool
IMF Working Papers, December 16, 2022
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Bibliographic details
- Authors: Hiroko Oura
- Published: December 16, 2022
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400227585.001
Summary
- Developing a systemic liquidity stress testing tool is challenging due to data constraints and hard-to-model behavioral factors.
- There has yet to be a uniformly accepted model partly because the nature of systemic liquidity risks differs significantly across countries.
- This paper offers a simple Excel-based tool to assess the high-level impact of aggregate liquidity stress on the whole economy and gauge its spillover across banks, non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs), and non-financial economic sectors.
- It primarily uses the balance sheet approach (BSA) data—a sector-aggregate matrix of financial exposure by counterpart—that have become increasingly available for various economies with all income levels.
- The results can identify systemically important financial linkages to be analyzed further and help calibrate macroprudential measures and a liquidity support framework.
- When liquidity stress stems from capital outflows, the tool can enrich policy discussion based on integrated policy framework (IPF) and international reserve adequacy perspectives.
Methodology and Data
- Primary methodological foundation: balance sheet approach (BSA) data (sector-aggregate matrix of financial exposure by counterpart).
- Tool format: simple Excel-based implementation for high-level assessment.
- Scope: whole economy—banks, NBFIs, and non-financial economic sectors.
- Applicable across economies with all income levels given growing availability of BSA data.
Key Findings and Analytical Use Cases
- The tool assesses aggregate liquidity stress impacts and the spillover across financial and non-financial sectors.
- Results can identify systemically important financial linkages for deeper analysis.
- Outputs can help calibrate macroprudential measures and design a liquidity support framework.
- For liquidity stress driven by capital outflows, the tool informs policy discussions under the integrated policy framework (IPF) and international reserve adequacy assessments.
Policy Implications and Recommendations
- Use the tool to:
- Identify systemically important linkages requiring targeted analysis.
- Calibrate macroprudential measures based on identified vulnerabilities.
- Design or refine a liquidity support framework informed by stress scenarios.
- Enrich integrated policy framework (IPF) deliberations and international reserve adequacy perspectives when capital outflows cause liquidity stress.
Subject Areas and Keywords (as listed)
- Subjects: Asset and liability management; Central banks; Financial sector policy and analysis; Foreign exchange; International reserves; Liquidity; Liquidity stress testing; Stress testing.
- Keywords: balance sheet approach; capital flow; cashflow liquidity stress test; central bank FX liquidity buffer; central bank liquidity provision; financial stability; Global; integrated policy framework; interconnectedness; international reserve adequacy; International reserves; Liquidity; Liquidity stress testing; liquidity support framework; macroprudential policy; NBFIs; stress test; Stress testing; Systemic liquidity; systemwide liquidity risk.
Content in this bundle
- Working Paper