How Useful is Monetary Econometrics in Low-Income Countries? T+L3104he Case of Money Demand and the Multipliers in Rwanda
September 1, 2005
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
Summary
This paper revisits the usefulness of econometric monetary analysis in low-income countries in a case study on Rwanda, an interesting case given its floating exchange rate and reliance on indirect monetary policy instruments on the one hand, and its somewhat typical data and institutional shortcomings on the other hand. The findings are generally encouraging for the use of econometric models for monetary analysis in low-income countries. Notwithstanding substantial qualifications, time series and structural models of the money multiplier and money demand yield results that are statistically and economically reasonable enough to usefully inform policymaking.
Subject: Banking, Currencies, Demand for money, Exchange rates, Financial markets, Foreign exchange, Monetary base, Money, Money markets
Keywords: component ratio, Currencies, currency ratio, Demand for money, excess supply, Exchange rates, GDP deflator, Monetary base, money demand, Money markets, money multiplier, multiplier, reserve ratio, reserve requirement ratio, Rwanda, time deposit, WP
Pages:
23
Volume:
2005
DOI:
Issue:
178
Series:
Working Paper No. 2005/178
Stock No:
WPIEA2005178
ISBN:
9781451861976
ISSN:
1018-5941






