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COVID-19 AND THE WAR IN UKRAINE
News & Publications
Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces
Global Economy: Steady amid Divergent Forces
Global growth is projected at 3.3 percent for 2026 and 3.2 percent for 2027, revised slightly up since the October 2025 World Economic Outlook. Technology investment, fiscal and monetary support, accommodative financial conditions, and private sector adaptability offset trade policy shifts. Global inflation is expected to fall, but US inflation will return to target more gradually. Key downside risks are reevaluation of technology expectations and escalation of geopolitical tensions. Policymakers should restore fiscal buffers, preserve price and financial stability, reduce uncertainty, and implement structural reforms.
Finland: 2026 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report
Since the 2023 downturn, the economic recovery has been slow as consumption has remained weak and construction investment fell. Unemployment continued to increase, largely driven by expanding labor supply, while inflation remained contained at around 2 percent. The economy is set to regain momentum in 2026 as private demand recovers, but risks are tilted to the downside, primarily from trade tensions and geoeconomic uncertainty.
Global Economy Shakes Off Tariff Shock Amid Tech-Driven Boom
But risks are rising, including from the concentration of tech investment and the negative effects of trade disruptions, which may build over time
New Skills and AI Are Reshaping the Future of Work
Policy choices will determine whether workers and firms are adequately prepared for the AI revolution
Top 10 Blogs of 2025
Debt, Stablecoins, AI, and Global Economy’s New Era Drew Blog Readers
Top Five IMF Blog Charts of 2025
Chart of the Week visuals illustrate major developments during a year of uncertainty and resilience
How Stablecoins Can Improve Payments and Global Finance
New technology can foster innovation and financial inclusion, or cause fragmentation and turbulence in many countries
Better Economic Measurement Is About Wiser Use, Not Just More Data
Statistics are a means, not an end, that should serve the public by helping us see the world more clearly and make better decisions
Podcast: Navigating a More Fragile World
With shock upon shock hitting the world economy in the last three years, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva's customary opening speech to the Annual Meetings warned of a darker global outlook and emphasized the need for the world to come together to deal with the consequences.
