Crypto’s early revolutionaries intended to end the choke hold of central banks and large commercial lenders on financial intermediation. The great ambition of the original crypto asset, Bitcoin, and the blockchain technology that underpins it, was to cut out the middlemen and connect transacting parties directly.
The technology was meant to democratize finance by giving everyone, the poor as well as the rich, easy access to a broad range of banking and financial services. New insurgent providers would use the technology to offer competitive financial services—including bespoke products for managing savings, credit, and risk—without setting up expensive brick-and-mortar operations. All this was meant to sweep out the old financial institutions, which had forfeited people’s trust during the global financial crisis, and build a new financial order in their place. Competition and innovation would flourish in this brave new world of decentralized finance. Consumers and businesses alike would benefit.
But the revolution was soon subverted. Decentralized crypto assets like Bitcoin, which are essentially created and managed by computer algorithms, proved untenable as mediums of exchange. Their volatile values and inability to process a large volume of transactions cheaply made them impractical for everyday use and led them to fail in their intended purpose. Instead, Bitcoin and the rest have become what they were never intended to be—speculative financial assets.
Stablecoins stepped in to fill the void by serving as more reliable mediums of exchange. They use the same blockchain technology as Bitcoin but maintain a stable value by being backed one-to-one with reserves of central bank currencies or with government bonds.
Stablecoins are facilitating decentralized finance, but they are the antithesis of decentralization. They don’t rely on decentralized trust mediated by computer code but rather on trust in the institutions that issue them. Governance isn’t decentralized, with users deciding the rules through public consensus, either. Instead, the firm that issues a stablecoin decides who can use it and how. Stablecoin transactions are posted to digital ledgers maintained on a decentralized network of computer nodes, the same as Bitcoin. But the stablecoin issuer, rather than a computer algorithm, validates these transactions.
Payment pathway
Perhaps the larger objectives are more important. Stablecoins could still serve as a pathway for people of all income levels to access digital payments and decentralized finance, undercut the privileges long enjoyed by stodgy commercial banks, and level some aspects of the playing field between richer and poorer nations. Even a small country could benefit from easier access to global finance through integration with payment systems with fewer frictions.
And stablecoins have indeed lowered costs and removed frictions in payments, particularly those that cross national borders. Economic migrants can send remittances to their home countries far more easily and cheaply than before. Importers and exporters can complete transactions with foreign counterparts instantaneously rather than having to wait for days.
Yet beyond payments, decentralized finance has become an arena for financial engineering that has spawned complex products of dubious value for anything other than speculation. Decentralized finance activities have hardly improved the lot of indigent households and could even hurt less sophisticated retail investors who get duped by the prospect of outsize returns and don’t appreciate the risks.
Shift in regulation
Will recent US legislation that permits a broad range of corporations to issue their own stablecoins promote competition and check less savory issuers? In 2019, Meta tried to create its own stablecoin, called Libra (later renamed Diem). But the project was halted in the face of fierce opposition from financial regulators, who feared that such a stablecoin could undermine central bank money.
A shift in the regulatory climate in Washington, with a new crypto-friendly administration, has now opened the door wide for private stablecoin issuers. Stablecoins issued by large US corporations, such as Amazon and Meta, backed by their sizable balance sheets, could sweep away other issuers. Minting stablecoins would ramp up the power of these corporations. It would lead to more concentration not more competition.
Large commercial banks are also adopting some aspects of the new technologies to make their operations more efficient but also to extend their reach. Turning bank deposits into digital tokens allows them to be transacted on blockchains, for instance. It’s conceivable that large banks could one day start issuing their own stablecoins. All of this would undercut the advantages of smaller banks, such as regional and community lenders, and entrench the power of the big players.