Evolution of Exchange Rate Behavior in the ASEAN-5 Countries
August 8, 2016
Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to further debate
Summary
This paper examines exchange rate behavior in the ASEAN-5 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand). It finds that for the last 10 years there is no evidence that their central banks target particular exchange rate levels against any currency or basket. Thus, contrary to some assertions, they do not belong to a U.S. dollar club, a Japanese yen club, a Chinese renminbi club, or an ASEAN club. At the same time, they clearly try to smooth short-term volatility, particularly vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar. The degree of smoothing declined noticeably after the Asian Financial Crisis and less obviously after the Global Financial Crisis, with heterogeneity across countries. Short-term smoothing without level targeting does not interfere with monetary policies aimed at price stability.
Subject: Currencies, Exchange rate adjustments, Exchange rate analysis, Exchange rate policy, Exchange rates, Foreign exchange, Money
Keywords: ASEAN, British pound, Chinese renminbi, Currencies, currency blocks, currency movement, Exchange rate adjustments, Exchange rate analysis, Exchange rate policy, Exchange rate regimes, exchange rate volatility, Exchange rates, fear of floating, Global, malaysian ringgit, reference currency, U.S. dollar, U.S. dollar peg, WP
Pages:
34
Volume:
2016
DOI:
Issue:
165
Series:
Working Paper No. 2016/165
Stock No:
WPIEA2016165
ISBN:
9781475523867
ISSN:
1018-5941






