Pakistan: First Post-Program Monitoring Discussions-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Pakistan
IMF Staff Country Reports, March 14, 2018
Source details
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- Pakistan: First Post-Program Monitoring Discussions-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Pakistan
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Bibliographic details
- Published: March 14, 2018
- Series: IMF Staff Country Reports
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781484347188.002
Summary findings
- This paper discusses First Post-Program Monitoring Discussions with Pakistan.
- Pakistan’s near-term outlook for economic growth is broadly favorable.
- Real GDP is expected to grow by 5.6 percent in FY2017/18.
- Growth drivers cited: improved power supply, investment related to the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor, strong consumption growth, and ongoing recovery in agriculture.
- Inflation has remained contained.
- Continued erosion of macroeconomic resilience could put this outlook at risk.
External sector and reserves
- The FY2017/18 current account deficit could reach 4.8 percent of GDP.
- Gross international reserves are expected to decline further in a context of limited exchange rate flexibility.
Thematic coverage (as listed)
- Economic sectors
- Exchange rate flexibility
- External debt
- Fiscal policy
- Fiscal stance
- Foreign exchange
- Public debt
- Public sector
Keywords and program context
- China-Pakistan Economic Corridor
- CR
- debt
- Exchange rate flexibility
- Fiscal stance
- Global
- government, incl. IMF
- ISCR
- prudent fiscal policy
- Public sector
- staff appraisal
- staff's projection
Content in this bundle
- Country Report