IMF Publications by Subject
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Economic forecasting:
2019
Title: How to Improve Inflation Forecasting in Canada
Series: Working Paper No. 2019/190
Date: September 13, 2019
Subject: Central bank policy rate Economic forecasting Financial services Inflation Inflation targeting Monetary policy Output gap Prices Production
2018
Title: Overfitting in Judgment-based Economic Forecasts: The Case of IMF Growth Projections
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/260
Date: December 7, 2018
Subject: Economic forecasting Emerging and frontier financial markets Financial markets Foreign exchange Income National accounts Personal income Population and demographics Population growth Real exchange rates
Title: An Algorithmic Crystal Ball: Forecasts-based on Machine Learning
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/230
Date: November 1, 2018
Subject: Artificial intelligence Economic forecasting Machine learning Technology
Title: Inflation Expectations Anchoring Across Different Types of Agents: the Case of South Africa
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/177
Date: August 2, 2018
Subject: Economic forecasting Inflation Inflation targeting Labor Labor unions Monetary policy Prices Wage setting
Title: An Open Economy Quarterly Projection Model for Sri Lanka
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/149
Date: June 25, 2018
Subject: Economic forecasting Exchange rates Foreign exchange Inflation Inflation targeting Monetary policy Output gap Prices Real exchange rates
Title: Explaining Inflation in Colombia: A Disaggregated Phillips Curve Approach
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/106
Date: May 10, 2018
Subject: Consumer price indexes Economic forecasting Exchange rates Foreign exchange Inflation Output gap Prices Production
2017
Title: Incorporating Macro-Financial Linkages into Forecasts Using Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of France
Series: Working Paper No. 2017/269
Date: December 1, 2017
Subject: Consumption Credit Economic forecasting Financial markets Money National accounts Return on investment Stock markets
2016
Title: Forecast Errors and Uncertainty Shocks
Series: Working Paper No. 2016/228
Date: November 17, 2016
Subject: Balance of payments Business cycles Current account balance Economic forecasting Inflation Prices
Title: Republic of Croatia: 2016 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Croatia
Series: Country Report No. 2016/187
Date: June 28, 2016
Subject: Banking Economic forecasting External debt Financial institutions Fiscal policy Loans National accounts Public debt
Title: Seeing in the Dark: A Machine-Learning Approach to Nowcasting in Lebanon
Series: Working Paper No. 2016/056
Date: March 8, 2016
Subject: Cyclical indicators Economic forecasting Economic growth Machine learning Technology