Syria’s Conflict Economy
IMF Working Papers, June 29, 2016
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- Syria’s Conflict Economy
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Bibliographic details
- Authors: Jeanne Gobat, Kristina Kostial
- Published: June 29, 2016
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781498336826.001
Overview
- Five years into the ongoing and tragic conflict, the paper analyzes how Syria’s economy and its people have been affected and outlines the challenges in rebuilding the economy.
- With extreme limitations on information, the findings of the paper are subject to an extraordinary degree of uncertainty.
Key findings
- The devastating civil war has set the country back decades in terms of economic, social and human development.
- Syria’s GDP today is less than half of what it was before the war started.
- It could take two decades or more for Syria to return to its pre-conflict GDP levels.
- While reconstructing damaged physical infrastructure will be a monumental task, rebuilding Syria’s human and social capital will be an even greater and lasting challenge.
Analytical emphasis and caveats
- The analysis stresses severe data limitations and explicitly notes an extraordinary degree of uncertainty surrounding the findings.
- The paper focuses on economic, social, and human development impacts rather than operational reconstruction plans.
Publication and authorship (selected)
- By Jeanne Gobat, Kristina Kostial
- June 29, 2016
- IMF Working Paper No. 2016/123
- Pages: 29
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781498336826.001
Source: IMF Working Paper “Syria’s Conflict Economy”