Evolution of Bilateral Swap Lines
IMF Working Papers, August 6, 2021
Source details
- Canonical URL
- Evolution of Bilateral Swap Lines
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Bibliographic details
- Authors: Michael Perks, Yudong Rao, Jongsoon Shin, Kiichi Tokuoka
- Published: August 6, 2021
- Series: IMF Working Papers
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513590134.001
Main contributions and methodology
- Constructs a comprehensive database of bilateral swap lines (BSLs) based on publicly available information, including after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.
- Provides results of regression analysis exploring several empirical questions not covered in previous studies.
Key findings
- Documents the evolution of BSLs into an important part of the Global Financial Safety Net (GFSN).
- Some BSLs helped to stabilize financial markets during both the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 pandemic.
- Analysis suggests that countries on the recipient side of BSLs are more likely to sign and renew BSLs designed to alleviate balance of payments needs as their external position weakens.
- U.S. Federal Reserve BSLs appear to have been effective at stabilizing financial market conditions during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Policy-relevant implications
- BSLs can play a stabilizing role in crisis episodes and thus form an integral component of the GFSN.
- Monitoring recipient countries’ external positions can help predict demand for BSL arrangements intended to address balance of payments needs.
- The effectiveness of U.S. Federal Reserve BSLs during COVID-19 underscores the potential role of major central bank swap networks (Fed swap network, Federal Reserve BSL) in market stabilization during global stress.
Research scope and focus areas
- Balance of payments
- COVID-19 and the COVID-19 pandemic
- Credit default swap
- Currencies
- Current account balance
- External debt
- Health
- Money
Content in this bundle
- Working Paper