Decomposing Climate Risks in Stock Markets
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Summary:
Climate change poses an unprecedented challenge to the world economy and the global financial system. This paper sets out to understand and quantify the impact of climate mitigation, with a focus on climate-related news, which represents an important information source that investors use to revise their subjective assessments of climate risks. Using full-text data from Financial Times from January 2005 to March 2022, we develop machine learning-based indicators to measure risks from climate mitigation, and the direction of the risk is identified through manual labels. The documented risk premium indicates that climate mitigation news has been partially priced in the Canadian stock market. More specifically, stock prices react positively to market-wide climate-favorable news but they do not react negatively to climate-unfavorable news. The results are robust to different model specifications and across equity markets.
Series:
Working Paper No. 2023/141
Subject:
Asset prices Climate change Climate policy Economic sectors Environment Oil sector Prices
Frequency:
regular
English
Publication Date:
June 30, 2023
ISBN/ISSN:
9798400244582/1018-5941
Stock No:
WPIEA2023141
Format:
Paper
Pages:
34
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