Transcript of the IMFC Press Briefing
IMF News, October 8, 2016
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- Published: October 8, 2016
Event and contacts
- Date: October 8, 2016
- IMF Communications Department — MEDIA RELATIONS
- PRESS OFFICER: Phone: +1 202 623-7100 Email: MEDIA@IMF.org
- Speakers: Agustín Carstens (Chairman of the IMFC and Governor, Banco de México); Christine Lagarde (Managing Director, IMF); Gerry Rice (Director, Communications Department)
Opening summary (Chairman’s remarks)
- Discussions at the IMFC were described as "extremely productive" with collective sharing of views and possible solutions to economic and financial challenges.
- Sympathy and support extended to governments of the Caribbean, especially Haiti, regarding Hurricane Matthew.
- Characterization of the global economic message echoed by the Managing Director: "too low for too long and benefiting too few."
Economic outlook and downside risks
- The economic outlook described as mixed with concerns about global activity and a range of downside risks.
- Signs of recovery noted as slow and principally focused on emerging market economies and a few advanced economies.
- Concern about increasingly inward‑looking policies that may derail benefits of globalization, open trade and markets, and technological change.
Policy priorities and commitments (from IMFC communiqué)
- Commitments:
- Strong, sustainable, inclusive job reach and more balanced growth.
- Use of all policy tools: structural reforms, fiscal and monetary, exploiting synergies among them.
- Reaffirmed commitment to communicate policies clearly, resist all forms of protectionism, and refrain from competitive devaluations.
- Ensure that everyone has the opportunity to benefit from globalization and technological change.
- Specific policy priorities underscored:
- Growth‑friendly fiscal policy.
- Continue supportive monetary policy in advanced economies.
- Prioritize structural reforms to raise potential growth.
- Effective financial sector policies to address legacies from the global financial crisis and head off potential systemic risks.
- Stronger global cooperation, including a concerted effort to maintain economic openness and reinvigorate global trade.
IMF institutional issues, lending capacity, and quotas
- IMF to explore further the impact of globalization and technological change, and to help membership understand policy impacts on inequality.
- Endorsed continuing work on challenges facing low‑income countries and fragile states, and capacity‑building.
- Welcomed extension of the zero interest rate on all IMFC concessional loans and contributions to PRGT loan mobilization efforts.
- Membership welcomed steps to maintain current lending capacity and reiterated commitment to a strong quota‑based and adequately‑resourced IMF as important for the Global Financial Safety Net.
- Welcomed strong pledges to extend IMFC access to bilateral borrowing as a backstop for IMF resources.
- Noted a general quota increase was just completed and that concluding the 15th General Review of Quotas and agreeing on a new quota formula will take additional time.
Country-specific notes and program sequencing
- Egypt:
- A staff‑level agreement reached about three weeks prior identifying reforms to unleash growth.
- A proposed program: US$12 billion over a period of three years.
- Several prior actions (including on the exchange rate and subsidies) need to be completed before Board review and first tranche release; prior actions described as "almost completed, not quite."
- Sequence for first tranche: complete prior actions → convene Board → Board review and approval → first tranche released.
- Mexico:
- Acknowledgement that Mexico has undertaken major reforms (education, telecommunications, oil industry, licenses).
- Fiscal policy continuity expected under new Finance Minister Mr. Jose Antonio Meade.
- Recognition that spillover effects from decisions made outside Mexico are a concern for growth.
- SDR and renminbi inclusion:
- Integration of the renminbi into the SDR basket was time‑consuming and required reforms by Chinese authorities to meet inclusion criteria.
- Confidence expressed that there will be more issuance of SDR‑labeled and ‑quoted bonds; process expected to take time.
Trade, globalization, and inclusiveness
- Trade performance: volume of trade has been weak since 2009 and not showing stellar performance.
- Protectionist measures: "more than 1,400 restrictive trade measures have been adopted only in G20 countries during the last year."
- Emphasis:
- Promote growth through trade and technological change.
- Address those left behind by globalization through targeted government measures.
- Advocate a comprehensive approach combining monetary policy, fiscal policy, and structural reforms because monetary policy alone is insufficient to raise growth.
Q&A highlights
- IMF self‑assessment and reforms:
- The IMF welcomes ex‑post review and Independent Evaluation Office recommendations, has learned and modified practices to remain "fit for purpose."
- Political uncertainty and inclusiveness:
- Managing Director emphasized respect for all human beings, focus on addressing discrimination and barriers to jobs and finance for women, and the economic uplift from closing gender participation gaps.
- Need for coordinated policy action:
- Reiteration that central bankers cannot be the only actors; fiscal and structural measures are needed to move the growth needle.
Transcript of the IMFC Press Briefing, October 8, 2016 — IMF Communications Department