IMF Managing Director Lagarde Calls for Cooperation to Support Global Growth
IMF News, June 9, 2019
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Bibliographic details
- Published: June 9, 2019
Context and meeting outcome
- Statement issued at the conclusion of the Group of 20 (G20) meeting of Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors in Fukuoka, Japan.
- Press Release No. 19/205; date: June 9, 2019.
- Meeting prepared the ground for the Leaders’ Summit in Osaka on June 28-29.
Economic assessment and key risks
- Global economy: "showing tentative signs of stabilizing and growth is projected to strengthen."
- Principal downside risks identified:
- Continuing trade tensions.
- Rising debt levels in many advanced economies amid very low interest rates.
- Vulnerability of emerging markets to a sudden shift in financial conditions.
- Limited monetary and fiscal policy space relative to the past.
- Quantified trade-cost estimate:
- IMF estimates that US-China tariffs, including those implemented last year, could reduce the level of global GDP by 0.5 percent in 2020 or about US$455 billion.
Policy recommendations and potential gains
- Trade policy:
- Resolve current trade tensions, including eliminating existing tariffs and avoiding new ones.
- Continue work toward modernization of the international trade system to increase certainty and confidence and to support global growth.
- Monetary policy:
- "In most countries, monetary policy should continue to be data dependent and accommodative."
- Fiscal policy:
- "Fiscal policy should carefully balance growth, debt, and social objectives."
- Structural reforms:
- Implement reforms such as opening up markets and encouraging greater participation by women in the workforce to lay foundations for stronger and more inclusive growth.
- Aggregate impact of coordinated measures:
- IMF estimates joint implementation of these kinds of measures could boost the G20’s GDP level by 4 percent over the long term.
Other areas requiring determined joint action
- International tax: ensure a "globally fair, sustainable and modern system."
- Financial sector: ensure "an open and resilient system grounded in agreed international standards."
- Debt (particularly for low-income countries): cooperation essential to ensure transparency and sustainability.
- Global economic imbalances: importance of working together to tackle imbalances concentrated in advanced economies.
- Aging/demographics: focus on policy implications and mutual support; IMF offered new cross-country research and analysis to support dialogue (See G20 Background Note Macroeconomics of Aging and Policy Implications).
- FinTech/digital age: emphasized importance of international cooperation in harnessing the potential of FinTech (speech at G20 seminar "Our Future in the Digital Age" in Fukuoka).
Gratitude and next steps
- Thanks to Deputy Prime Minister Taro Aso, Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, the Japanese authorities, and the people of Japan for organization and hospitality.
- Managing Director Lagarde looked forward to returning to Japan later in June.
IMF Press Release No. 19/205, June 9, 2019.