Tax Revenue Forecasting and Analysis
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Bibliographic details
- Session: SA 23.21
- Location: New Delhi, India
- Dates: June 12-16, 2023 (1 week)
- Delivery method: In-person Training
- Primary language: English
Invitation and Logistics
- Session No.: SA 23.21
- Location: New Delhi, India
- Date: June 12-16, 2023 (1 week)
- Delivery Method: In-person Training
- Primary Language: English
- Pre-requisites:
- Participants should be nominated by the designated sponsoring agency in the Ministry or other Government organization.
Target Audience and Qualifications
- Target Audience:
- Government officials and others working in the Ministry of Finance, Strategic Planning Ministries and Central bank, who are dealing with the revenue forecasting and related expenditure planning functions, including those who will potentially be handling such roles in future assignments.
- Qualifications:
- The participant should have at least five years' professional experience in a revenue or revenue-related expenditure planning function.
- The sponsoring organization should ensure that the nominated officer possesses a basic understanding of statistical concepts.
Course Description
- Introductory course designed for public sector staff interested in theory and practice of revenue forecasting and tax policy analysis.
- Emphasizes hands-on learning to build foundational knowledge on quantitative models and techniques for forecasting revenues and undertaking tax policy analysis.
- Explores related issues such as the features of a sound institutional framework and the key principles of tax policymaking.
- Does not presume familiarity with forecasting concepts but requires a basic understanding of statistical concepts.
Course Objectives
- Enable staff to:
- Analyze fundamental principles and trends in tax revenue analysis.
- Explain the key features of an effective institutional framework for revenue forecasting.
- Identify data requirements and recognize potential data issues.
- Recognize the strengths and limitations of different forecasting methods.
- Use the adequate model(s) to quantify the impact of tax policy changes, including input-output tables and micro-simulation models.
Assessment and Pedagogy
- Course will feature an introductory short test to appraise participants' basic knowledge on the forecasting.
- Practical exercises during each session.
- Final test at the end of the course.
References