IMF Publications by Subject
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Cyclical indicators:
2018
Title: Predicting Fiscal Crises
Series: Working Paper No. 2018/181
Date: August 3, 2018
Subject: Cyclical indicators Early warning systems Expenditure Financial crises Output gap
2016
Title: Seeing in the Dark: A Machine-Learning Approach to Nowcasting in Lebanon
Series: Working Paper No. 2016/056
Date: March 8, 2016
Subject: Cyclical indicators Economic forecasting Economic growth Machine learning Technology
Title: Leading Indicators of Fiscal Distress: Evidence from the Extreme Bound Analysis
Series: Working Paper No. 2016/028
Date: February 15, 2016
Subject: Cyclical indicators Economic growth External debt Fiscal policy Fiscal stance Foreign exchange Public debt
2015
Title: How External Factors Affect Domestic Economy: Nowcasting an Emerging Market
Series: Working Paper No. 2015/269
Date: December 23, 2015
Subject: Business cycles Cyclical indicators Economic forecasting Economic growth Industrial production Oil prices Production Production growth
Title: A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI)
Series: Working Paper No. 2015/020
Date: January 26, 2015
Subject: Business cycles Cyclical indicators Economic growth
2013
Title: Near-Coincident Indicators of Systemic Stress
Series: Working Paper No. 2013/115
Date: May 17, 2013
Subject: Banking Cyclical indicators Economic growth Financial crises Financial regulation and supervision Financial sector policy and analysis Financial services Liquidity risk Systemic risk Yield curve
2012
Title: A Financial Conditions Index for South Africa
Series: Working Paper No. 2012/196
Date: August 1, 2012
Subject: Cyclical indicators Economic and financial statistics Economic growth Financial conditions index Financial crises Financial sector policy and analysis Financial statistics Post-clearance customs audit Revenue administration
Title: Tracking Short-Term Dynamics of Economic Activity in Low-Income Countries in the Absence of High-Frequency Gdp Data
Series: Working Paper No. 2012/119
Date: May 1, 2012
Subject: Business cycles Cyclical indicators Economic growth Inflation Labor Prices Taxes Value-added tax
Title: Coincident Indicators of Capital Flows
Series: Working Paper No. 2012/055
Date: February 1, 2012
Subject: Balance of payments Bonds Capital flows Cyclical indicators Economic growth Financial institutions International trade Stocks Trade balance
2011
Title: Predicting Recessions: A New Approach for Identifying Leading Indicators and Forecast Combinations
Series: Working Paper No. 2011/235
Date: October 1, 2011
Subject: Business cycles Capacity utilization Cyclical indicators Economic growth Housing Labor Labor markets National accounts Production