IMF Publications by Author
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Celasun, Oya:
2022
Title: Surging Energy Prices in Europe in the Aftermath of the War: How to Support the Vulnerable and Speed up the Transition Away from Fossil Fuels
Series: Working Paper No. 2022/152
Date: July 29, 2022
Subject: Economic sectors Energy prices Environment Fuel prices Inflation Natural gas sector Non-renewable resources Prices
Title: Supply Bottlenecks: Where, Why, How Much, and What Next?
Series: Working Paper No. 2022/031
Date: February 17, 2022
Subject: Economic sectors Economic theory Inflation Labor Labor shortages Manufacturing Prices Producer price indexes Supply shocks
2021
Title: An Evaluation of World Economic Outlook Growth Forecasts, 2004–17
Series: Working Paper No. 2021/216
Date: August 6, 2021
Notes: Online Annex for WP/21/216
Subject: Emerging and frontier financial markets Financial crises Financial markets GDP forecasting Global financial crisis of 2008-2009 International trade National accounts Output gap Production Terms of trade
2016
Title: Trading on Their Terms? Commodity Exporters in the Aftermath of the Commodity Boom
Series: Working Paper No. 2016/027
Date: February 15, 2016
Subject: Commodities Commodity booms Commodity prices Potential output Prices Production Total factor productivity
2015
Title: Fiscal Policy in Latin America: Lessons and Legacies of the Global Financial Crisis
Series: Staff Discussion Notes No. 2015/006
Date: April 30, 2015
Notes: Also Available in Spanish; Also see Technical Appendix in English; in Spanish
Subject: Expenditure Fiscal governance Fiscal policy Fiscal stance Public debt
2014
Title: The U.S. Manufacturing Recovery: Uptick or Renaissance?
Series: Working Paper No. 2014/028
Date: February 12, 2014
Subject: Economic sectors Financial crises Foreign exchange Fuel prices Global financial crisis of 2008-2009 Labor Labor costs Manufacturing Personal income Prices Real effective exchange rates
2012
Title: Commodity Prices and Inflation Expectations in the United States
Series: Working Paper No. 2012/089
Date: March 1, 2012
Subject: Commodity price shocks Commodity prices Food prices Inflation Oil prices Prices
2009
Title: How Does Public External Debt Affect Corporate Borrowing Costs In Emerging Markets?
Series: Working Paper No. 2009/266
Date: December 1, 2009
Subject: Emerging and frontier financial markets External debt Loans Public debt Syndicated loans
2006
Title: On the Properties of Various Estimators for Fiscal Reaction Functions
Series: Working Paper No. 2006/182
Date: July 1, 2006
Subject: Bonds Estimation techniques Fiscal stance Output gap Public debt
Title: Primary Surplus Behavior and Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries: A "Fan-Chart" Approach
Series: Working Paper No. 2006/067
Date: March 1, 2006
Subject: Debt sustainability analysis External debt Fiscal policy Fiscal stance Output gap Production Public debt
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